The Pharma Career Ladder · The medical rep · Step 3: Knowing the science · Lesson 4

What p < 0.05 does not mean

Statistical significance in plain words

By Ahmed El Menshawy · 20 years in pharma, from medical rep to country manager in the UAE. Founder of RepPharma. LinkedIn
Published

"It is significant, Doctor" is one of the weakest sentences a rep can say.

In 2016 the American Statistical Association published a formal statement on p-values, because the misreadings had become so common. Sales conversations are full of them.

  • What p under 0.05 actually means:
  • If the treatment had no real effect, a result this strong would be unlikely.
  • That is all it says.
  • What it does not mean:
  • It is not the chance that the drug works.
  • It does not tell you how big the effect is.
  • Significant is not the same as clinically important.

A tiny benefit in a very large trial can be highly significant and still not change a single prescription. A specialist knows this. When a rep leans on the p-value alone, she hears someone who has not read past the abstract.

What to say instead: give the size of the effect, the confidence interval, and what that means for her patients.

“A p-value tells you how surprising the result would be if the drug did nothing. It never tells you it matters.”
What p < 0.05 does not mean: Statistical significance in plain words

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