The Pharma Career Ladder · The first-line manager · Step 2: Targets, forecasts and numbers · Lesson 7

Leading and lagging indicators

Managing what can still be changed

By Ahmed El Menshawy · 20 years in pharma, from medical rep to country manager in the UAE. Founder of RepPharma. LinkedIn
Published

Most sales reviews are about one kind of number. The one you can no longer change.

Sell-out, market share, target achieved. By the time you see them, the month has closed. You can explain them. You cannot change them.

Kaplan and Norton's balanced scorecard separates these outcome measures from the things that drive them. Lagging indicators tell you the score. Leading indicators tell you what is likely to happen next.

In a field team, the leading ones are things like:

  • Are the key doctors being seen?
  • How often?
  • Which skills am I actually seeing on double visits?

You can see all of these during the month, while there is still time to act. That is what makes them useful.

The trap is simple. If you manage only the lagging number, every conversation with a rep is about the past. The rep leaves knowing they missed, but not what to do on Monday.

So I review both, but I start with the leading ones.

One caution. Leading indicators only matter because they drive results. A rep with perfect activity and no movement in sales is telling you something too, usually about the message.

“Sales tell you what happened. The field tells you what will.”
Leading and lagging indicators: Managing what can still be changed

Lesson 7 of 13 in Step 2: Targets, forecasts and numbers, with the full guide and a checklist for this week.

More lessons in step 2: Targets, forecasts and numbers

Targets, forecasts and numbers, in RepPharma

Plans approved in one click

Each rep’s monthly plan is drafted from doctor priority and visit frequency; you review and approve it in one click.

Team reviews that assemble themselves

Monthly team reviews are built from field data, and a month-end checklist shows which reps have next month’s plan, forecast and expenses in.

Forecasts graded against real sales

Bottom-up forecasts per account and product are graded against real sales every month.

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