The Pharma Career Ladder · The first-line manager · Step 2: Targets, forecasts and numbers · Lesson 5

Target versus reality

Diagnosing a gap on one page

By Ahmed El Menshawy · 20 years in pharma, from medical rep to country manager in the UAE. Founder of RepPharma. LinkedIn
Published

"We are behind target."

It is the most common sentence in a sales review, and on its own it tells you almost nothing.

A missed target is a symptom. Before anyone decides what to do, I want one page that shows where the gap actually sits. And I read it with the rep, not about the rep.

Four things go on that page.

Sell-out against target. What actually reached pharmacies and hospitals, by product. That is how big the gap is.

Where the gap sits. Usually a few areas and accounts explain most of it. That is where next month's effort goes.

Sell-in and distributor stock. Read beside sell-out, never instead of it. Is stock building up at the distributor, or running short on the shelves?

The activity behind it. Were the key doctors seen, and how often, against the plan?

Sell-in, sell-out and distributor stock are three different numbers. Mixing them up is how teams convince themselves a month was fine when it was not.

And the shortcut I never take: closing the gap by loading the distributor. The gap does not disappear. It comes back next month, bigger.

“Do not argue about the total. Find where the gap sits.”
Target versus reality: Diagnosing a gap on one page

Lesson 5 of 13 in Step 2: Targets, forecasts and numbers, with the full guide and a checklist for this week.

More lessons in step 2: Targets, forecasts and numbers

Targets, forecasts and numbers, in RepPharma

Plans approved in one click

Each rep’s monthly plan is drafted from doctor priority and visit frequency; you review and approve it in one click.

Team reviews that assemble themselves

Monthly team reviews are built from field data, and a month-end checklist shows which reps have next month’s plan, forecast and expenses in.

Forecasts graded against real sales

Bottom-up forecasts per account and product are graded against real sales every month.

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